Firm’s Credit Risk in the Presence of Market Structural Breaks
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Credit rating dynamics in the presence of unknown structural breaks
In many credit risk and pricing applications, credit transition matrix is modeled by a constant transition probability or generator matrix for Markov processes. Based on empirical evidence, we model rating transition processes as piecewise homogeneous Markov chains with unobserved structural breaks. The proposed model provides explicit formulas for the posterior distribution of the time-varying...
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متن کاملPredictive effect of economic and market variations on structural breaks in credit rating dynamics
Recent studies have shown that firms credit rating transition process is not stationary and may have structural breaks. To study the predictability of structural breaks, we develop a predictive model for latent structural breaks in firms rating transition dynamics, using historical records of (highdimensional) economic and market fundamentals. As a large number of economic and market variables ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Risks
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2227-9091
DOI: 10.3390/risks6040136